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Definitive Analysis

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Relo Group, Inc. (8876.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty Business ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11,494.25 - $25,703.37$24,087.82
Multi-Stage$3,828.66 - $4,191.78$4,006.88
Blended Fair Value$14,047.35
Current Price$1,784.50
Upside687.19%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.81%14.19%35.6231.7827.9518.1527.6724.4620.6717.3814.0911.69
YoY Growth--12.10%13.68%53.97%-34.40%13.14%18.35%18.93%23.35%20.54%23.67%
Dividend Yield--2.08%1.84%1.43%0.83%1.09%1.21%0.73%0.59%0.64%0.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)20,511.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,226.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,285.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,102.202,563.881,538.33
Cash Retained (M)14,285.0014,285.0014,285.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,102.20-2,563.88-1,538.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,182.8011,721.1312,746.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)158.70158.70158.70
(=) Excess Retained per Share64.1673.8680.32
LTM Dividend per Share39.2339.2339.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share64.1673.8680.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend103.40113.09119.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11,494.25$24,087.82$25,703.37
Upside / Downside544.12%1,249.84%1,340.37%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)20,511.0021,844.2223,264.0924,776.2526,386.7128,101.8528,944.90
Payout Ratio30.35%42.28%54.21%66.14%78.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,226.009,236.5112,612.0816,387.4620,600.3425,291.6626,774.04

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.45%6.45%6.45%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8,595.468,676.938,758.41
Year 2 PV (M)10,922.1811,130.2111,340.21
Year 3 PV (M)13,206.7313,585.8413,972.15
Year 4 PV (M)15,449.6716,043.8216,654.95
Year 5 PV (M)17,651.5818,504.1519,389.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)541,782.78567,951.09595,120.92
Equity Value (M)607,608.39635,892.06665,236.00
Shares Outstanding (M)158.70158.70158.70
Fair Value$3,828.66$4,006.88$4,191.78
Upside / Downside114.55%124.54%134.90%

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