Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Eco World Development Group Berhad (8206.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.86 - $23.31$10.57
Multi-Stage$3.64 - $3.98$3.81
Blended Fair Value$7.19
Current Price$1.88
Upside282.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%57.36%0.060.060.050.040.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.10%20.00%25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--3.21%4.25%6.77%4.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)374.04
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)206.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)167.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)74.8146.7528.05
Cash Retained (M)167.30167.30167.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-74.81-46.75-28.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)92.49120.55139.25
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,151.373,151.373,151.37
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate4.16%5.16%6.16%
Fair Value$4.86$10.57$23.31
Upside / Downside158.71%462.10%1,139.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)374.04393.34413.65435.00457.45481.06495.49
Payout Ratio55.27%62.22%69.16%76.11%83.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)206.74244.73286.09331.07379.93432.96458.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate4.16%5.16%6.16%
Year 1 PV (M)228.26230.45232.64
Year 2 PV (M)248.88253.68258.53
Year 3 PV (M)268.63276.44284.41
Year 4 PV (M)287.53298.74310.26
Year 5 PV (M)305.61320.57336.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)10,125.7510,621.2311,135.93
Equity Value (M)11,464.6712,001.1212,557.87
Shares Outstanding (M)3,151.373,151.373,151.37
Fair Value$3.64$3.81$3.98
Upside / Downside93.51%102.57%111.96%

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