Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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SEED Co.,Ltd. (7743.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,380.53 - $9,038.40$6,927.95
Multi-Stage$1,121.51 - $1,227.00$1,173.29
Blended Fair Value$4,050.62
Current Price$534.00
Upside658.54%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.60%7.83%14.999.929.939.929.929.927.587.606.236.34
YoY Growth--51.08%-0.03%0.07%-0.04%-0.01%30.84%-0.17%21.94%-1.64%-10.16%
Dividend Yield--3.23%1.78%1.70%1.93%1.23%1.35%0.66%0.33%0.74%1.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,375.51
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)453.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)921.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)275.10171.94103.16
Cash Retained (M)921.77921.77921.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-275.10-171.94-103.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)646.67749.83818.61
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)30.2730.2730.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share21.3724.7727.05
LTM Dividend per Share14.9914.9914.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share21.3724.7727.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend36.3639.7742.04
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$2,380.53$6,927.95$9,038.40
Upside / Downside345.79%1,197.37%1,592.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,375.511,464.921,560.141,661.541,769.541,884.571,941.10
Payout Ratio32.99%44.39%55.79%67.19%78.60%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)453.74650.27870.431,116.471,390.821,696.111,795.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)601.40607.10612.80
Year 2 PV (M)744.51758.69773.01
Year 3 PV (M)883.18908.53934.37
Year 4 PV (M)1,017.511,056.641,096.89
Year 5 PV (M)1,147.601,203.031,260.58
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,549.2930,976.5332,458.40
Equity Value (M)33,943.4935,510.5337,136.04
Shares Outstanding (M)30.2730.2730.27
Fair Value$1,121.51$1,173.29$1,227.00
Upside / Downside110.02%119.72%129.77%

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