Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Doshisha Co.,Ltd. (7483.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22,142.71 - $44,062.47$41,292.99
Multi-Stage$6,811.05 - $7,455.90$7,127.55
Blended Fair Value$24,210.27
Current Price$2,825.00
Upside757.00%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS8.31%7.76%77.9167.5658.2559.6150.5352.2652.4350.7351.2441.77
YoY Growth--15.32%15.97%-2.28%17.96%-3.30%-0.32%3.34%-0.99%22.68%13.18%
Dividend Yield--3.14%2.86%2.52%3.79%2.92%3.20%2.99%2.02%2.40%2.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,835.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,967.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,868.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,567.00979.38587.63
Cash Retained (M)4,868.004,868.004,868.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,567.00-979.38-587.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,301.003,888.634,280.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)35.3635.3635.36
(=) Excess Retained per Share93.35109.96121.04
LTM Dividend per Share83.9083.9083.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share93.35109.96121.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend177.25193.86204.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22,142.71$41,292.99$44,062.47
Upside / Downside683.81%1,361.70%1,459.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,835.008,344.288,886.659,464.2910,079.4610,734.6311,056.67
Payout Ratio37.87%48.29%58.72%69.15%79.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,967.004,029.855,218.346,544.318,020.609,661.1710,227.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3,753.853,789.433,825.01
Year 2 PV (M)4,528.024,614.264,701.32
Year 3 PV (M)5,289.655,441.505,596.23
Year 4 PV (M)6,038.916,271.156,510.02
Year 5 PV (M)6,775.937,103.217,443.01
PV of Terminal Value (M)214,473.52224,832.67235,588.29
Equity Value (M)240,859.87252,052.22263,663.88
Shares Outstanding (M)35.3635.3635.36
Fair Value$6,811.05$7,127.55$7,455.90
Upside / Downside141.10%152.30%163.93%

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