Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Dongguan Dingtong Precision Metal Co., Ltd. (688668.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28.27 - $60.15$40.18
Multi-Stage$21.05 - $22.97$21.99
Blended Fair Value$31.08
Current Price$94.91
Upside-67.25%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS33.89%0.00%0.360.500.380.320.020.080.150.000.000.00
YoY Growth---28.22%32.66%18.15%1,389.08%-74.32%-43.76%43,097.68%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.80%1.30%0.85%0.83%0.12%0.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)208.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)70.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)138.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.7126.0715.64
Cash Retained (M)138.32138.32138.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.71-26.07-15.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)96.61112.25122.68
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)138.98138.98138.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.810.88
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.810.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.201.311.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$28.27$40.18$60.15
Upside / Downside-70.22%-57.67%-36.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)208.57222.12236.56251.94268.32285.76294.33
Payout Ratio33.68%44.95%56.21%67.47%78.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)70.2599.83132.97169.99211.26257.18272.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)89.9290.7791.63
Year 2 PV (M)107.88109.93112.00
Year 3 PV (M)124.22127.78131.42
Year 4 PV (M)139.05144.39149.89
Year 5 PV (M)152.46159.83167.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,312.042,423.712,539.66
Equity Value (M)2,925.563,056.423,192.07
Shares Outstanding (M)138.98138.98138.98
Fair Value$21.05$21.99$22.97
Upside / Downside-77.82%-76.83%-75.80%

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