Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Leaguer (Shenzhen) Microelectronics Corp. (688589.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$45.35 - $86.76$81.31
Multi-Stage$13.79 - $15.09$14.43
Blended Fair Value$47.87
Current Price$26.98
Upside77.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162014
DPS92.12%0.00%0.280.190.150.120.000.010.060.060.110.00
YoY Growth--44.88%25.24%33.33%2,373.17%-56.26%-81.84%4.62%-50.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.10%0.89%0.53%0.36%0.02%0.02%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)37.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.277.054.23
Cash Retained (M)19.0019.0019.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.27-7.05-4.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)7.7311.9614.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)129.21129.21129.21
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.090.11
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.090.11
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.350.380.40
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$45.35$81.31$86.76
Upside / Downside68.08%201.36%221.58%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.3760.0363.9368.0972.5177.2379.55
Payout Ratio66.29%71.03%75.77%80.52%85.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)37.3742.6448.4554.8261.8269.5173.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)39.7340.1140.49
Year 2 PV (M)42.0642.8643.67
Year 3 PV (M)44.3545.6346.92
Year 4 PV (M)46.6148.4050.24
Year 5 PV (M)48.8251.1853.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,560.541,635.911,714.17
Equity Value (M)1,782.121,864.091,949.13
Shares Outstanding (M)129.21129.21129.21
Fair Value$13.79$14.43$15.09
Upside / Downside-48.88%-46.53%-44.09%

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