Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen YHLO Biotech Co., Ltd. (688575.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.73 - $52.14$39.97
Multi-Stage$6.78 - $7.40$7.08
Blended Fair Value$23.53
Current Price$14.55
Upside61.69%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS49.25%0.00%0.310.520.310.020.070.040.020.030.000.00
YoY Growth---40.17%67.17%1,450.33%-69.91%58.72%118.27%-26.78%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.92%2.14%1.64%0.07%0.15%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)143.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)134.31
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.6617.9110.75
Cash Retained (M)9.019.019.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.66-17.91-10.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)-19.65-8.90-1.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)546.60546.60546.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.020.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.04-0.020.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.210.230.24
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.73$39.97$52.14
Upside / Downside-5.61%174.70%258.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)143.32152.63162.55173.12184.37196.36202.25
Payout Ratio93.71%92.97%92.23%91.49%90.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)134.31141.90149.92158.38167.30176.72187.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)131.24132.48133.73
Year 2 PV (M)128.23130.67133.14
Year 3 PV (M)125.29128.88132.55
Year 4 PV (M)122.40127.11131.95
Year 5 PV (M)119.57125.35131.34
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,078.803,227.513,381.91
Equity Value (M)3,705.533,872.004,044.61
Shares Outstanding (M)546.60546.60546.60
Fair Value$6.78$7.08$7.40
Upside / Downside-53.41%-51.31%-49.14%

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