Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Western Superconducting Technologies Co., Ltd. (688122.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Manufacturing - Metal FabricationSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.44 - $100.90$53.11
Multi-Stage$21.84 - $23.88$22.84
Blended Fair Value$37.98
Current Price$65.09
Upside-41.66%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS26.65%26.84%0.790.820.800.340.280.240.260.250.220.20
YoY Growth---2.87%2.68%133.52%22.58%14.13%-4.87%4.22%10.68%9.79%174.53%
Dividend Yield--1.71%2.12%1.37%0.55%0.77%1.10%0.65%0.63%0.56%0.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)846.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)108.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)738.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)169.36105.8563.51
Cash Retained (M)738.62738.62738.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-169.36-105.85-63.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)569.26632.77675.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)651.23651.23651.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.870.971.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.870.971.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.041.141.20
WACC / Discount Rate8.78%8.78%8.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$33.44$53.11$100.90
Upside / Downside-48.62%-18.40%55.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)846.79901.83960.451,022.871,089.361,160.171,194.98
Payout Ratio12.77%28.22%43.66%59.11%74.55%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)108.17254.49419.37604.62812.171,044.151,105.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.78%8.78%8.78%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)231.75233.94236.14
Year 2 PV (M)347.77354.40361.08
Year 3 PV (M)456.59469.69483.05
Year 4 PV (M)558.52580.00602.09
Year 5 PV (M)653.89685.47718.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)11,972.9912,551.2913,151.73
Equity Value (M)14,221.5114,874.8015,552.36
Shares Outstanding (M)651.23651.23651.23
Fair Value$21.84$22.84$23.88
Upside / Downside-66.45%-64.91%-63.31%

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