Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen JPT Opto-Electronics Co., Ltd. (688025.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$47.60 - $103.52$68.18
Multi-Stage$34.44 - $37.62$36.00
Blended Fair Value$52.09
Current Price$141.37
Upside-63.15%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS67.72%45.45%0.370.290.330.160.230.030.210.020.010.06
YoY Growth--26.57%-11.71%102.03%-30.50%745.86%-86.48%827.13%113.89%-82.75%590.36%
Dividend Yield--0.64%0.58%0.63%0.34%0.66%0.07%0.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)233.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41.21
(=) Cash Retained (M)191.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.6429.1517.49
Cash Retained (M)191.98191.98191.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.64-29.15-17.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)145.34162.83174.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)94.7294.7294.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.531.721.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.440.440.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.531.721.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.972.152.28
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$47.60$68.18$103.52
Upside / Downside-66.33%-51.77%-26.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)233.18248.34264.48281.67299.98319.48329.07
Payout Ratio17.67%32.14%46.60%61.07%75.53%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41.2179.81123.26172.01226.59287.53304.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.86%9.86%9.86%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)71.9672.6473.33
Year 2 PV (M)100.21102.12104.04
Year 3 PV (M)126.10129.71133.40
Year 4 PV (M)149.77155.53161.45
Year 5 PV (M)171.36179.64188.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,642.602,770.242,902.77
Equity Value (M)3,262.003,409.883,563.22
Shares Outstanding (M)94.7294.7294.72
Fair Value$34.44$36.00$37.62
Upside / Downside-75.64%-74.54%-73.39%

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