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Definitive Analysis

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Chino Corporation (6850.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18,113.29 - $21,341.13$19,999.48
Multi-Stage$14,130.47 - $15,513.41$14,809.00
Blended Fair Value$17,404.24
Current Price$1,300.00
Upside1,238.79%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS7.68%6.30%32.3935.8022.8722.4022.4222.3719.8917.5420.1217.79
YoY Growth---9.52%56.56%2.10%-0.08%0.20%12.46%13.43%-12.81%13.10%1.17%
Dividend Yield--2.66%2.71%1.85%2.70%2.95%3.22%2.91%2.06%3.23%3.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,828.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)169.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,658.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)365.60228.50137.10
Cash Retained (M)1,658.501,658.501,658.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-365.60-228.50-137.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,292.901,430.001,521.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.0117.0117.01
(=) Excess Retained per Share76.0184.0789.44
LTM Dividend per Share9.979.979.97
(+) Excess Retained per Share76.0184.0789.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend85.9894.0499.41
WACC / Discount Rate-0.69%-0.69%-0.69%
Growth Rate5.34%6.34%7.34%
Fair Value$18,113.29$19,999.48$21,341.13
Upside / Downside1,293.33%1,438.42%1,541.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,828.001,943.902,067.142,198.202,337.562,485.762,560.34
Payout Ratio9.27%25.42%41.56%57.71%73.85%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)169.50494.10859.171,268.561,726.392,237.192,368.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.69%-0.69%-0.69%
Growth Rate5.34%6.34%7.34%
Year 1 PV (M)492.84497.52502.20
Year 2 PV (M)854.80871.11887.57
Year 3 PV (M)1,258.881,295.071,331.96
Year 4 PV (M)1,708.861,774.681,842.38
Year 5 PV (M)2,208.822,315.682,426.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)233,828.46245,139.94256,885.00
Equity Value (M)240,352.66251,893.99263,875.72
Shares Outstanding (M)17.0117.0117.01
Fair Value$14,130.47$14,809.00$15,513.41
Upside / Downside986.96%1,039.15%1,093.34%

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