Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Nissin Electric Co., Ltd. (6641.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$947.62 - $1,431.45$1,175.70
Multi-Stage$1,184.74 - $1,299.53$1,241.05
Blended Fair Value$1,208.38
Current Price$1,259.00
Upside-4.02%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS9.09%13.02%33.9931.9932.9933.9930.0022.0014.0012.0010.999.99
YoY Growth--6.26%-3.03%-2.95%13.32%36.37%57.15%16.69%9.11%10.02%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.23%2.28%3.15%2.84%2.94%1.85%0.93%1.38%1.65%1.61%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,451.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)907.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)10,544.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,290.201,431.38858.83
Cash Retained (M)10,544.0010,544.0010,544.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,290.20-1,431.38-858.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)8,253.809,112.639,685.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)106.87106.87106.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share77.2385.2690.62
LTM Dividend per Share8.498.498.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share77.2385.2690.62
(=) Adjusted Dividend85.7293.7599.11
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate0.79%1.79%2.79%
Fair Value$947.62$1,175.70$1,431.45
Upside / Downside-24.73%-6.62%13.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,451.0011,655.9911,864.6612,077.0612,293.2612,513.3312,888.73
Payout Ratio7.92%24.34%40.75%57.17%73.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)907.002,836.674,835.146,904.259,045.8911,262.0011,922.08

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.91%9.91%9.91%
Growth Rate0.79%1.79%2.79%
Year 1 PV (M)2,555.622,580.972,606.33
Year 2 PV (M)3,924.484,002.744,081.78
Year 3 PV (M)5,048.675,200.445,355.22
Year 4 PV (M)5,959.356,199.406,446.63
Year 5 PV (M)6,684.217,022.457,374.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)102,446.47107,630.49113,022.27
Equity Value (M)126,618.81132,636.50138,886.47
Shares Outstanding (M)106.87106.87106.87
Fair Value$1,184.74$1,241.05$1,299.53
Upside / Downside-5.90%-1.43%3.22%

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