Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

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Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Motech Industries Inc. (6244.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SolarSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.56 - $2.08$1.83
Multi-Stage$3.28 - $3.59$3.43
Blended Fair Value$2.63
Current Price$17.45
Upside-84.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-5.58%0.320.440.180.180.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---28.89%145.28%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.58%1.61%0.49%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)141.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)139.34
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.13
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)28.2917.6810.61
Cash Retained (M)2.132.132.13
(-) Cash Required (M)-28.29-17.68-10.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)-26.16-15.55-8.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)391.73391.73391.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.04-0.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.360.360.36
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.07-0.04-0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.33
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate-7.58%-6.58%-5.58%
Fair Value$1.56$1.83$2.08
Upside / Downside-91.08%-89.53%-88.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)141.46132.15123.46115.33107.74100.65103.67
Payout Ratio98.50%96.80%95.10%93.40%91.70%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)139.34127.92117.40107.7298.8090.5895.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.58%9.58%9.58%
Growth Rate-7.58%-6.58%-5.58%
Year 1 PV (M)115.49116.74117.98
Year 2 PV (M)95.6997.7799.88
Year 3 PV (M)79.2681.8684.52
Year 4 PV (M)65.6368.5271.50
Year 5 PV (M)54.3357.3360.46
PV of Terminal Value (M)873.91922.22972.65
Equity Value (M)1,284.301,344.441,406.99
Shares Outstanding (M)391.73391.73391.73
Fair Value$3.28$3.43$3.59
Upside / Downside-81.21%-80.33%-79.42%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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