Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Rakumachi,inc. (6037.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$474.60 - $700.89$582.96
Multi-Stage$395.74 - $430.62$412.87
Blended Fair Value$497.91
Current Price$1,000.00
Upside-50.21%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%13.177.145.705.260.000.000.000.002.800.00
YoY Growth--84.63%25.15%8.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.32%1.02%1.22%1.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.43%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,169.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)172.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)997.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)234.00146.2587.75
Cash Retained (M)997.99997.99997.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-234.00-146.25-87.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)763.99851.74910.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.0421.0421.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share36.3240.4943.27
LTM Dividend per Share8.188.188.18
(+) Excess Retained per Share36.3240.4943.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend44.4948.6651.44
WACC / Discount Rate15.39%15.39%15.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$474.60$582.96$700.89
Upside / Downside-52.54%-41.70%-29.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,169.991,246.041,327.031,413.291,505.151,602.991,651.08
Payout Ratio14.70%29.76%44.82%59.88%74.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)172.00370.83594.78846.281,127.961,442.691,527.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate15.39%15.39%15.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)318.35321.37324.39
Year 2 PV (M)438.36446.71455.13
Year 3 PV (M)535.45550.82566.48
Year 4 PV (M)612.68636.24660.47
Year 5 PV (M)672.73705.23738.96
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,747.806,025.426,313.67
Equity Value (M)8,325.378,685.789,059.11
Shares Outstanding (M)21.0421.0421.04
Fair Value$395.74$412.87$430.62
Upside / Downside-60.43%-58.71%-56.94%

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