Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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G-bits Network Technology (Xiamen) Co., Ltd. (603444.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,525.27 - $4,153.37$3,892.31
Multi-Stage$2,579.02 - $2,830.51$2,702.42
Blended Fair Value$3,297.36
Current Price$568.00
Upside480.52%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-8.28%22.64%6.4910.1429.8511.995.009.992.664.130.630.42
YoY Growth---36.04%-66.03%148.89%140.00%-49.99%275.69%-35.53%556.40%48.79%-49.87%
Dividend Yield--2.91%5.16%6.26%3.33%1.34%2.44%1.27%2.40%0.20%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,501.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)394.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,106.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)300.31187.69112.62
Cash Retained (M)1,106.891,106.891,106.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-300.31-187.69-112.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)806.58919.20994.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)71.9071.9071.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.2212.7813.83
LTM Dividend per Share5.495.495.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.2212.7813.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.7118.2719.32
WACC / Discount Rate0.79%0.79%0.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,525.27$3,892.31$4,153.37
Upside / Downside520.65%585.27%631.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,501.551,599.161,703.101,813.801,931.702,057.262,118.98
Payout Ratio26.28%39.03%51.77%64.51%77.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)394.66624.10881.701,170.141,492.371,851.531,960.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.79%0.79%0.79%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)613.39619.21625.02
Year 2 PV (M)851.71867.93884.31
Year 3 PV (M)1,110.961,142.851,175.34
Year 4 PV (M)1,392.571,446.131,501.21
Year 5 PV (M)1,698.091,780.111,865.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)179,761.52188,444.07197,458.92
Equity Value (M)185,428.24194,300.29203,510.07
Shares Outstanding (M)71.9071.9071.90
Fair Value$2,579.02$2,702.42$2,830.51
Upside / Downside354.05%375.78%398.33%

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