Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Suzhou W Deane New Power Elec (603312.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$133.18 - $363.27$340.44
Multi-Stage$51.28 - $56.11$53.65
Blended Fair Value$197.04
Current Price$50.81
Upside287.81%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS262.51%0.00%0.670.020.010.010.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--3,121.00%64.90%8.17%489.58%84.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.66%0.07%0.04%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)290.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)120.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)170.09
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)58.1636.3521.81
Cash Retained (M)170.09170.09170.09
(-) Cash Required (M)-58.16-36.35-21.81
(=) Excess Retained (M)111.94133.75148.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)159.19159.19159.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.840.93
LTM Dividend per Share0.760.760.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.840.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.461.601.69
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$133.18$340.44$363.27
Upside / Downside162.12%570.03%614.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)290.79309.69329.82351.26374.09398.41410.36
Payout Ratio41.51%51.20%60.90%70.60%80.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)120.70158.58200.87248.00300.40358.57379.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)147.28148.68150.07
Year 2 PV (M)173.28176.58179.91
Year 3 PV (M)198.69204.40210.21
Year 4 PV (M)223.53232.13240.97
Year 5 PV (M)247.81259.78272.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,172.467,518.897,878.59
Equity Value (M)8,163.068,540.468,931.96
Shares Outstanding (M)159.19159.19159.19
Fair Value$51.28$53.65$56.11
Upside / Downside0.92%5.59%10.43%

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