Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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State Grid Yingda Co.,Ltd. (600517.SS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$69.64 - $82.04$76.89
Multi-Stage$47.51 - $52.15$49.79
Blended Fair Value$63.34
Current Price$5.87
Upside979.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.43%12.12%0.110.070.080.090.070.050.040.050.040.03
YoY Growth--43.61%-11.67%-6.27%37.36%42.63%25.94%-21.07%20.41%10.55%1.87%
Dividend Yield--2.13%1.56%1.62%1.60%0.88%0.70%0.69%0.81%0.40%0.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,354.62
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)480.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,873.99
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)470.92294.33176.60
Cash Retained (M)1,873.991,873.991,873.99
(-) Cash Required (M)-470.92-294.33-176.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,403.071,579.671,697.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,707.575,707.575,707.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.280.30
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.280.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.38
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$69.64$76.89$82.04
Upside / Downside1,086.33%1,209.84%1,297.69%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,354.622,507.672,670.672,844.263,029.143,226.043,322.82
Payout Ratio20.41%34.33%48.25%62.16%76.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)480.63860.881,288.531,768.132,304.642,903.433,073.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.20%2.20%2.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)834.46842.37850.28
Year 2 PV (M)1,210.671,233.731,257.01
Year 3 PV (M)1,610.321,656.551,703.65
Year 4 PV (M)2,034.552,112.792,193.27
Year 5 PV (M)2,484.522,604.522,729.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)263,014.15275,717.83288,907.71
Equity Value (M)271,188.68284,167.80297,641.05
Shares Outstanding (M)5,707.575,707.575,707.57
Fair Value$47.51$49.79$52.15
Upside / Downside709.44%748.18%788.39%

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