Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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IOI Properties Group Berhad (5249.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36.59 - $59.93$56.16
Multi-Stage$9.65 - $10.57$10.10
Blended Fair Value$33.13
Current Price$2.09
Upside1,485.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS10.76%0.61%0.050.050.040.020.010.030.050.060.060.04
YoY Growth--0.00%25.00%100.00%33.33%-50.00%-40.00%-16.67%-6.38%56.15%-12.78%
Dividend Yield--2.39%2.36%2.41%2.14%1.25%3.31%4.39%3.61%3.17%1.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,659.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)440.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,218.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)331.83207.40124.44
Cash Retained (M)1,218.681,218.681,218.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-331.83-207.40-124.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)886.841,011.281,094.24
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,506.155,506.155,506.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.28
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$36.59$56.16$59.93
Upside / Downside1,650.66%2,587.11%2,767.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,659.171,767.021,881.872,004.192,134.472,273.212,341.40
Payout Ratio26.55%39.24%51.93%64.62%77.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)440.49693.36977.241,295.101,650.152,045.892,165.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)646.78652.91659.04
Year 2 PV (M)850.35866.55882.90
Year 3 PV (M)1,051.231,081.411,112.16
Year 4 PV (M)1,249.451,297.501,346.92
Year 5 PV (M)1,445.021,514.821,587.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)47,877.1350,189.6252,590.61
Equity Value (M)53,119.9755,602.8158,178.91
Shares Outstanding (M)5,506.155,506.155,506.15
Fair Value$9.65$10.10$10.57
Upside / Downside361.60%383.17%405.56%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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