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Matrix Concepts Holdings Berhad (5236.KL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - DevelopmentSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.28 - $1.99$1.61
Multi-Stage$3.06 - $3.37$3.21
Blended Fair Value$2.41
Current Price$1.34
Upside79.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202520242023202220212020
DPS5.63%0.00%0.080.070.070.060.050.060.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--10.81%2.78%12.50%14.29%-10.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--5.90%6.00%7.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)216.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)122.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.03
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.2727.0416.23
Cash Retained (M)94.0394.0394.03
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.27-27.04-16.23
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.7666.9877.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,621.541,621.541,621.54
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.030.040.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.12
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.28$1.61$1.99
Upside / Downside-4.74%19.89%48.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)216.35214.18212.04209.92207.82205.74211.91
Payout Ratio56.54%63.23%69.92%76.62%83.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)122.32135.43148.27160.83173.13185.17196.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.19%6.19%6.19%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)126.24127.53128.82
Year 2 PV (M)128.83131.47134.14
Year 3 PV (M)130.27134.30138.41
Year 4 PV (M)130.72136.13141.72
Year 5 PV (M)130.32137.11144.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,318.934,543.834,778.00
Equity Value (M)4,965.315,210.375,465.26
Shares Outstanding (M)1,621.541,621.541,621.54
Fair Value$3.06$3.21$3.37
Upside / Downside128.51%139.79%151.52%

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