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YeaShin International Development Co., Ltd. (5213.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$308.76 - $673.33$631.01
Multi-Stage$101.50 - $111.10$106.21
Blended Fair Value$368.61
Current Price$25.50
Upside1,345.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.97%6.31%1.260.460.541.040.001.040.520.280.680.64
YoY Growth--171.64%-14.43%-47.72%0.00%-100.00%100.68%81.55%-58.33%6.85%-6.47%
Dividend Yield--3.76%1.27%2.34%5.34%0.00%9.56%3.26%1.88%5.03%4.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,259.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)848.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,410.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)451.83282.40169.44
Cash Retained (M)1,410.541,410.541,410.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-451.83-282.40-169.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)958.711,128.151,241.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)667.27667.27667.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.441.691.86
LTM Dividend per Share1.271.271.27
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.441.691.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.712.963.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$308.76$631.01$673.33
Upside / Downside1,110.83%2,374.55%2,540.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,259.172,406.012,562.402,728.962,906.343,095.253,188.11
Payout Ratio37.56%48.05%58.54%69.03%79.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)848.631,156.111,499.991,883.682,310.912,785.732,949.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,076.111,086.311,096.51
Year 2 PV (M)1,299.581,324.331,349.32
Year 3 PV (M)1,519.071,562.681,607.11
Year 4 PV (M)1,734.651,801.361,869.98
Year 5 PV (M)1,946.372,040.382,137.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)60,150.5163,055.8066,072.28
Equity Value (M)67,726.2970,870.8674,133.19
Shares Outstanding (M)667.27667.27667.27
Fair Value$101.50$106.21$111.10
Upside / Downside298.03%316.51%335.69%

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