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Definitive Analysis

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ITOCHU Techno-Solutions Corporation (4739.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,228.86 - $31,931.87$29,924.84
Multi-Stage$4,330.06 - $4,735.53$4,529.09
Blended Fair Value$17,226.97
Current Price$4,313.00
Upside299.42%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS16.32%13.28%90.5267.5262.0553.4947.7742.5137.5231.8928.6628.32
YoY Growth--34.07%8.82%15.98%11.99%12.37%13.30%17.64%11.29%1.19%8.83%
Dividend Yield--2.49%2.03%1.80%1.32%1.69%2.22%1.91%2.90%1.88%2.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37,107.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,749.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)18,358.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,421.404,638.382,783.03
Cash Retained (M)18,358.0018,358.0018,358.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,421.40-4,638.38-2,783.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,936.6013,719.6315,574.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)231.11231.11231.11
(=) Excess Retained per Share47.3259.3767.39
LTM Dividend per Share81.1381.1381.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share47.3259.3767.39
(=) Adjusted Dividend128.45140.49148.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$10,228.86$29,924.84$31,931.87
Upside / Downside137.16%593.83%640.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37,107.0039,518.9642,087.6944,823.3947,736.9150,839.8152,365.00
Payout Ratio50.53%58.42%66.32%74.21%82.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,749.0023,087.5627,910.9233,263.7739,194.5645,755.8348,437.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)21,409.6121,612.5421,815.48
Year 2 PV (M)24,001.3424,458.4924,919.97
Year 3 PV (M)26,525.4927,286.9428,062.83
Year 4 PV (M)28,983.3430,097.9631,244.42
Year 5 PV (M)31,376.1532,891.6334,465.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)868,408.87910,353.35953,903.13
Equity Value (M)1,000,704.801,046,700.911,094,410.93
Shares Outstanding (M)231.11231.11231.11
Fair Value$4,330.06$4,529.09$4,735.53
Upside / Downside0.40%5.01%9.80%

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