Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PARK24 Co., Ltd. (4666.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Infrastructure OperationsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,315.66 - $2,615.39$1,824.35
Multi-Stage$2,141.05 - $2,355.30$2,246.11
Blended Fair Value$2,035.23
Current Price$2,023.50
Upside0.58%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.010.040.0259.2359.2456.2552.0943.8139.70
YoY Growth---100.00%-85.71%133.33%-99.97%-0.02%5.31%7.99%18.89%10.37%25.51%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.90%2.15%2.17%1.91%1.41%1.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)14,597.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)853.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)13,744.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,919.401,824.631,094.78
Cash Retained (M)13,744.0013,744.0013,744.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,919.40-1,824.63-1,094.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,824.6011,919.3812,649.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)182.66182.66182.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share59.2665.2569.25
LTM Dividend per Share4.674.674.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share59.2665.2569.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend63.9369.9273.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.08%6.08%6.08%
Growth Rate1.16%2.16%3.16%
Fair Value$1,315.66$1,824.35$2,615.39
Upside / Downside-34.98%-9.84%29.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)14,597.0014,912.6915,235.2015,564.6915,901.3016,245.2016,732.56
Payout Ratio5.84%22.67%39.51%56.34%73.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)853.003,381.446,018.858,768.7511,634.7814,620.6815,477.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.08%6.08%6.08%
Growth Rate1.16%2.16%3.16%
Year 1 PV (M)3,156.483,187.683,218.88
Year 2 PV (M)5,244.645,348.845,454.06
Year 3 PV (M)7,132.487,346.107,563.93
Year 4 PV (M)8,834.109,188.629,553.70
Year 5 PV (M)10,362.6910,885.1011,428.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)356,353.72374,318.29393,000.18
Equity Value (M)391,084.12410,274.63430,219.12
Shares Outstanding (M)182.66182.66182.66
Fair Value$2,141.05$2,246.11$2,355.30
Upside / Downside5.81%11.00%16.40%

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