DDM Analysis: 4519.T

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$25,555.46 - $47,995.02	$44,978.37
Multi-Stage	$7,709.08 - $8,429.27	$8,062.59
Blended Fair Value	$26,520.48
Current Price	$6,448.00
Upside	311.30%
Decision	Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	18.77%	18.44%	80.96	79.95	83.98	59.93	55.56	34.25	21.27	18.26	19.25	17.24
YoY Growth	-	-	1.26%	-4.79%	40.12%	7.88%	62.22%	61.01%	16.49%	-5.12%	11.64%	15.72%
Dividend Yield	-	-	1.19%	1.40%	2.57%	1.46%	1.24%	0.82%	0.84%	1.02%	1.51%	1.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	397,202.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	299,832.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)	97,370.00

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	79,440.40	49,650.25	29,790.15
Cash Retained (M)	97,370.00	97,370.00	97,370.00
(-) Cash Required (M)	-79,440.40	-49,650.25	-29,790.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)	17,929.60	47,719.75	67,579.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	1,645.87	1,645.87	1,645.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share	10.89	28.99	41.06
LTM Dividend per Share	182.17	182.17	182.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share	10.89	28.99	41.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend	193.07	211.17	223.23
WACC / Discount Rate	6.30%	6.30%	6.30%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$25,555.46	$44,978.37	$47,995.02
Upside / Downside	296.33%	597.56%	644.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	397,202.00	423,020.13	450,516.44	479,800.01	510,987.01	544,201.16	560,527.20
Payout Ratio	75.49%	78.39%	81.29%	84.19%	87.10%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	299,832.00	331,600.49	366,232.09	403,964.78	445,055.40	489,781.05	518,487.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.30%	6.30%	6.30%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	309,027.32	311,956.49	314,885.66
Year 2 PV (M)	318,067.90	324,126.20	330,241.65
Year 3 PV (M)	326,955.52	336,341.24	345,904.88
Year 4 PV (M)	335,691.98	348,601.74	361,880.33
Year 5 PV (M)	344,279.04	360,907.84	378,173.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)	11,054,118.45	11,588,036.50	12,142,388.86
Equity Value (M)	12,688,140.20	13,269,970.01	13,873,474.45
Shares Outstanding (M)	1,645.87	1,645.87	1,645.87
Fair Value	$7,709.08	$8,062.59	$8,429.27
Upside / Downside	19.56%	25.04%	30.73%

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Chugai Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (4519.T)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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