Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Industry

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LandMark Optoelectronics Corporation (3081.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$8.21 - $10.64$9.50
Multi-Stage$15.35 - $17.01$16.16
Blended Fair Value$12.83
Current Price$455.00
Upside-97.18%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-36.79%-10.27%0.503.493.474.963.954.944.927.876.834.62
YoY Growth---85.72%0.55%-30.00%25.60%-20.03%0.44%-37.51%15.18%47.86%213.53%
Dividend Yield--0.18%2.42%2.62%2.70%1.46%1.89%1.71%2.10%2.31%1.15%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)246.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)199.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.2530.7818.47
Cash Retained (M)199.96199.96199.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.25-30.78-18.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)150.72169.19181.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)92.1092.1092.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.641.841.97
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.641.841.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.142.342.47
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-12.77%-11.77%-10.77%
Fair Value$8.21$9.50$10.64
Upside / Downside-98.20%-97.91%-97.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)246.23217.25191.68169.12149.21131.65135.60
Payout Ratio18.79%33.03%47.27%61.52%75.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.2671.7690.61104.03113.04118.49125.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.97%9.97%9.97%
Growth Rate-12.77%-11.77%-10.77%
Year 1 PV (M)64.5165.2565.99
Year 2 PV (M)73.2474.9376.64
Year 3 PV (M)75.6078.2380.92
Year 4 PV (M)73.8577.3080.86
Year 5 PV (M)69.6073.6877.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,057.321,119.341,184.22
Equity Value (M)1,414.131,488.721,566.58
Shares Outstanding (M)92.1092.1092.10
Fair Value$15.35$16.16$17.01
Upside / Downside-96.63%-96.45%-96.26%

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