DDM Analysis: 301150.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.85 - $1.20	$1.02
Multi-Stage	$1.32 - $1.45	$1.38
Blended Fair Value	$1.20
Current Price	$41.42
Upside	-97.10%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	35.06%	0.00%	0.14	0.72	0.75	0.03	0.05	0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.03
YoY Growth	-	-	-80.56%	-3.59%	2,111.12%	-33.14%	62.22%	-13.38%	124.31%	-50.03%	16.69%	0.00%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.70%	3.35%	2.07%	0.08%	0.11%	0.07%	0.00%	0.00%	0.07%	0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	22.97
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	9.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)	13.47

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	4.59	2.87	1.72
Cash Retained (M)	13.47	13.47	13.47
(-) Cash Required (M)	-4.59	-2.87	-1.72
(=) Excess Retained (M)	8.87	10.60	11.75
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	179.60	179.60	179.60
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.06	0.07
LTM Dividend per Share	0.05	0.05	0.05
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.05	0.06	0.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.10	0.11	0.12
WACC / Discount Rate	9.85%	9.85%	9.85%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Fair Value	$0.85	$1.02	$1.20
Upside / Downside	-97.96%	-97.53%	-97.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	22.97	22.74	22.52	22.29	22.07	21.85	22.50
Payout Ratio	41.37%	51.10%	60.82%	70.55%	80.27%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	9.50	11.62	13.69	15.73	17.71	19.66	20.81

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.85%	9.85%	9.85%
Growth Rate	-2.00%	-1.00%	0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)	10.47	10.58	10.69
Year 2 PV (M)	11.12	11.35	11.58
Year 3 PV (M)	11.51	11.86	12.23
Year 4 PV (M)	11.68	12.17	12.67
Year 5 PV (M)	11.68	12.29	12.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)	180.61	190.02	199.81
Equity Value (M)	237.08	248.27	259.89
Shares Outstanding (M)	179.60	179.60	179.60
Fair Value	$1.32	$1.38	$1.45
Upside / Downside	-96.81%	-96.66%	-96.51%

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Hubei Zhongyi Science Technology Co., Ltd. (301150.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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