Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shenzhen Jove Enterprise Co., Ltd. (300814.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.50 - $2.26$1.86
Multi-Stage$2.92 - $3.22$3.07
Blended Fair Value$2.46
Current Price$53.41
Upside-95.38%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-24.86%0.00%0.110.160.160.010.010.460.010.010.000.00
YoY Growth---31.74%2.64%2,020.59%15.51%-98.60%4,319.61%37.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.35%0.52%0.71%0.04%0.02%1.51%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)26.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.964.352.61
Cash Retained (M)26.1926.1926.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.96-4.35-2.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)19.2321.8423.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)194.28194.28194.28
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.110.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.50$1.86$2.26
Upside / Downside-97.18%-96.51%-95.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34.7834.4334.0933.7533.4133.0734.07
Payout Ratio24.70%37.76%50.82%63.88%76.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.5913.0017.3221.5625.7029.7731.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.33%7.33%7.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)11.9912.1112.23
Year 2 PV (M)14.7315.0415.34
Year 3 PV (M)16.9117.4417.97
Year 4 PV (M)18.6019.3720.16
Year 5 PV (M)19.8720.9021.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)485.88511.18537.53
Equity Value (M)567.98596.04625.22
Shares Outstanding (M)194.28194.28194.28
Fair Value$2.92$3.07$3.22
Upside / Downside-94.53%-94.26%-93.97%

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