Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Penyao Environmental Protection Co., Ltd. (300664.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - Pollution & Treatment ControlsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.94 - $18.71$10.67
Multi-Stage$5.77 - $6.32$6.04
Blended Fair Value$8.35
Current Price$5.25
Upside59.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.01%6.28%0.230.250.170.160.140.150.120.060.110.11
YoY Growth---6.40%45.63%4.06%20.91%-10.25%24.43%114.55%-47.53%-6.37%-8.93%
Dividend Yield--4.56%5.09%3.10%2.64%1.73%1.74%1.54%0.40%1.26%1.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)219.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)167.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)43.9127.4416.46
Cash Retained (M)167.47167.47167.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-43.91-27.44-16.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)123.56140.03151.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)741.73741.73741.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.190.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.240.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Fair Value$6.94$10.67$18.71
Upside / Downside32.28%103.22%256.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)219.53231.12243.32256.16269.68283.92292.43
Payout Ratio23.72%36.97%50.23%63.49%76.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.0685.45122.22162.63206.96255.53270.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.83%7.83%7.83%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Year 1 PV (M)78.4979.2479.99
Year 2 PV (M)103.12105.10107.11
Year 3 PV (M)126.04129.70133.43
Year 4 PV (M)147.33153.06158.96
Year 5 PV (M)167.08175.25183.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,659.263,838.114,023.89
Equity Value (M)4,281.324,480.474,687.12
Shares Outstanding (M)741.73741.73741.73
Fair Value$5.77$6.04$6.32
Upside / Downside9.94%15.06%20.37%

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