Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

T&S Communications Co.,Ltd. (300570.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$31.18 - $66.13$44.27
Multi-Stage$23.70 - $25.83$24.75
Blended Fair Value$34.51
Current Price$105.28
Upside-67.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.52%16.84%0.500.500.300.300.460.370.220.210.170.11
YoY Growth--0.80%68.30%0.00%-35.32%25.00%63.64%4.21%26.67%48.15%8.00%
Dividend Yield--0.60%1.26%1.08%1.99%2.87%1.65%0.87%1.17%0.65%0.70%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)375.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)181.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)194.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)75.1646.9728.18
Cash Retained (M)194.08194.08194.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-75.16-46.97-28.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)118.93147.11165.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)226.05226.05226.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.530.650.73
LTM Dividend per Share0.800.800.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.530.650.73
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.331.451.54
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$31.18$44.27$66.13
Upside / Downside-70.38%-57.95%-37.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)375.78400.21426.22453.93483.43514.86530.30
Payout Ratio48.35%56.68%65.01%73.34%81.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)181.70226.85277.09332.92394.82463.37490.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)204.29206.23208.16
Year 2 PV (M)224.73229.01233.33
Year 3 PV (M)243.15250.13257.24
Year 4 PV (M)259.69269.67279.95
Year 5 PV (M)274.47287.72301.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,150.964,351.454,559.62
Equity Value (M)5,357.275,594.205,839.77
Shares Outstanding (M)226.05226.05226.05
Fair Value$23.70$24.75$25.83
Upside / Downside-77.49%-76.49%-75.46%

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