Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Hanwha Systems Co., Ltd. (272210.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$66,201.91 - $160,517.64$98,383.74
Multi-Stage$45,804.54 - $50,073.96$47,900.42
Blended Fair Value$73,142.08
Current Price$59,500.00
Upside22.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS27.04%18.41%267.02238.41152.58129.17174.2780.680.00495.7125.7555.08
YoY Growth--12.00%56.25%18.13%-25.88%116.00%0.00%-100.00%1,825.13%-53.25%11.73%
Dividend Yield--0.83%1.30%1.10%0.79%0.87%1.26%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)598,348.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)65,447.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)532,900.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)119,669.6874,793.5544,876.13
Cash Retained (M)532,900.75532,900.75532,900.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-119,669.68-74,793.55-44,876.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)413,231.07458,107.20488,024.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)196.08196.08196.08
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,107.452,336.322,488.89
LTM Dividend per Share333.78333.78333.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,107.452,336.322,488.89
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,441.232,670.092,822.67
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$66,201.91$98,383.74$160,517.64
Upside / Downside11.26%65.35%169.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)598,348.39637,241.03678,661.70722,774.71769,755.06819,789.14844,382.82
Payout Ratio10.94%26.75%42.56%58.38%74.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)65,447.64170,464.78288,857.62421,921.32571,062.88737,810.23781,054.11

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.39%9.39%9.39%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)154,368.41155,831.62157,294.82
Year 2 PV (M)236,881.63241,393.56245,948.05
Year 3 PV (M)313,330.59322,325.19331,490.29
Year 4 PV (M)384,042.27398,811.45414,002.58
Year 5 PV (M)449,328.06471,030.78493,564.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,443,448.997,802,970.368,176,251.46
Equity Value (M)8,981,399.959,392,362.959,818,551.31
Shares Outstanding (M)196.08196.08196.08
Fair Value$45,804.54$47,900.42$50,073.96
Upside / Downside-23.02%-19.50%-15.84%

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