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Definitive Analysis

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Advanced Process Systems Corporation (265520.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19,464.15 - $31,650.64$24,925.50
Multi-Stage$30,751.41 - $33,769.45$32,231.51
Blended Fair Value$28,578.50
Current Price$17,000.00
Upside68.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.32%0.00%473.43272.12242.56141.4773.99165.9929.670.000.000.00
YoY Growth--73.98%12.19%71.46%91.19%-55.42%459.43%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.79%1.25%1.09%0.60%0.26%0.68%0.10%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)26,332.76
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,958.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)18,374.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,266.553,291.601,974.96
Cash Retained (M)18,374.2618,374.2618,374.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,266.55-3,291.60-1,974.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)13,107.7115,082.6616,399.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.9114.9114.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share879.281,011.771,100.09
LTM Dividend per Share533.87533.87533.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share879.281,011.771,100.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,413.151,545.631,633.96
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate0.26%1.26%2.26%
Fair Value$19,464.15$24,925.50$31,650.64
Upside / Downside14.50%46.62%86.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)26,332.7626,664.4727,000.3527,340.4627,684.8628,033.5928,874.60
Payout Ratio30.22%42.18%54.13%66.09%78.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,958.5011,246.6114,616.2818,069.0721,606.5225,230.2326,709.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate0.26%1.26%2.26%
Year 1 PV (M)10,354.9110,458.1910,561.47
Year 2 PV (M)12,390.4312,638.8312,889.69
Year 3 PV (M)14,102.9414,529.1614,963.87
Year 4 PV (M)15,526.8516,155.6516,803.35
Year 5 PV (M)16,693.3817,542.6618,426.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)389,350.38409,158.70429,765.14
Equity Value (M)458,418.88480,483.18503,409.69
Shares Outstanding (M)14.9114.9114.91
Fair Value$30,751.41$32,231.51$33,769.45
Upside / Downside80.89%89.60%98.64%

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