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Definitive Analysis

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Ichia Technologies, Inc. (2402.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$182.69 - $506.00$474.19
Multi-Stage$72.89 - $79.65$76.21
Blended Fair Value$275.20
Current Price$52.00
Upside429.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.55%6.10%1.180.980.490.490.500.500.000.000.002.24
YoY Growth--21.02%100.00%0.00%-3.25%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%243.32%
Dividend Yield--3.28%2.72%1.83%3.07%2.68%4.61%0.00%0.00%0.00%13.12%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)775.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)607.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)168.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)155.0996.9358.16
Cash Retained (M)168.30168.30168.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-155.09-96.93-58.16
(=) Excess Retained (M)13.2171.37110.14
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)304.78304.78304.78
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.230.36
LTM Dividend per Share1.991.991.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.230.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.042.232.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$182.69$474.19$506.00
Upside / Downside251.32%811.91%873.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)775.44825.85879.53936.69997.581,062.421,094.30
Payout Ratio78.30%80.64%82.98%85.32%87.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)607.15665.94729.81799.18874.47956.181,012.22

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)618.41624.27630.13
Year 2 PV (M)629.34641.33653.43
Year 3 PV (M)639.97658.34677.06
Year 4 PV (M)650.28675.29701.01
Year 5 PV (M)660.29692.18725.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,017.6219,936.1720,889.89
Equity Value (M)22,215.8923,227.5724,276.80
Shares Outstanding (M)304.78304.78304.78
Fair Value$72.89$76.21$79.65
Upside / Downside40.18%46.56%53.18%

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