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EcoGreen International Group Limited (2341.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$99.39 - $200.68$188.06
Multi-Stage$30.34 - $33.25$31.77
Blended Fair Value$109.91
Current Price$1.38
Upside7,864.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2021202020192018201720162015201420132012
DPS9.82%11.38%0.060.050.040.040.030.040.050.030.020.03
YoY Growth--19.21%26.67%7.26%45.59%-32.28%-18.04%63.69%23.63%-12.91%27.35%
Dividend Yield--4.36%4.42%2.88%2.67%2.01%2.51%3.59%2.13%2.30%3.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)782.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)706.19
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)156.4297.7658.66
Cash Retained (M)706.19706.19706.19
(-) Cash Required (M)-156.42-97.76-58.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)549.77608.43647.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)775.06775.06775.06
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.710.790.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.710.790.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.810.880.93
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$99.39$188.06$200.68
Upside / Downside7,102.30%13,527.71%14,441.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)782.08832.91887.05944.711,006.111,071.511,103.66
Payout Ratio9.70%25.76%41.82%57.88%73.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.89214.58370.98546.81743.93964.361,020.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)199.86201.76203.65
Year 2 PV (M)321.83327.96334.15
Year 3 PV (M)441.82454.51467.43
Year 4 PV (M)559.86581.39603.54
Year 5 PV (M)675.97708.62742.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,317.2222,346.8523,415.88
Equity Value (M)23,516.5724,621.0825,767.17
Shares Outstanding (M)775.06775.06775.06
Fair Value$30.34$31.77$33.25
Upside / Downside2,098.67%2,201.94%2,309.09%

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