Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Delta Electronics, Inc. (2308.TW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$515.44 - $1,671.65$834.91
Multi-Stage$339.50 - $370.83$354.88
Blended Fair Value$594.90
Current Price$854.00
Upside-30.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.16%1.68%6.419.815.495.494.994.994.994.994.996.27
YoY Growth---34.65%78.91%0.00%10.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-20.47%15.52%
Dividend Yield--1.78%2.93%1.82%2.04%1.73%4.14%3.20%3.84%3.07%4.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49,962.27
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,182.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)31,779.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,992.456,245.283,747.17
Cash Retained (M)31,779.4731,779.4731,779.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,992.45-6,245.28-3,747.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)21,787.0225,534.1928,032.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,604.492,604.492,604.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.379.8010.76
LTM Dividend per Share6.986.986.98
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.379.8010.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend15.3516.7917.74
WACC / Discount Rate8.64%8.64%8.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$515.44$834.91$1,671.65
Upside / Downside-39.64%-2.24%95.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49,962.2753,209.8256,668.4660,351.9164,274.7868,452.6570,506.22
Payout Ratio36.39%47.11%57.84%68.56%79.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,182.8025,069.5232,774.6841,375.6050,956.1661,607.3865,218.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.64%8.64%8.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)22,858.8623,075.5323,292.21
Year 2 PV (M)27,249.3327,768.3528,292.27
Year 3 PV (M)31,366.8132,267.2333,184.73
Year 4 PV (M)35,223.4136,578.0037,971.29
Year 5 PV (M)38,830.7840,706.3242,653.65
PV of Terminal Value (M)728,699.41763,895.87800,439.37
Equity Value (M)884,228.60924,291.31965,833.52
Shares Outstanding (M)2,604.492,604.492,604.49
Fair Value$339.50$354.88$370.83
Upside / Downside-60.25%-58.44%-56.58%

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