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Definitive Analysis

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Kolon Plastics, Inc. (138490.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68,825.54 - $227,551.87$213,241.64
Multi-Stage$32,723.25 - $35,853.52$34,259.43
Blended Fair Value$123,750.53
Current Price$6,900.00
Upside1,693.49%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.92%0.00%159.83179.81144.850.0069.93119.88119.8899.9057.1838.12
YoY Growth---11.11%24.14%0.00%-100.00%-41.67%0.00%20.00%74.71%50.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.81%2.37%1.39%0.00%1.10%4.47%1.93%1.26%0.92%0.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)43,693.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,624.39
(=) Cash Retained (M)36,069.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8,738.765,461.723,277.03
Cash Retained (M)36,069.4136,069.4136,069.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-8,738.76-5,461.72-3,277.03
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,330.6530,607.6832,792.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.0438.0438.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share718.49804.63862.07
LTM Dividend per Share200.43200.43200.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share718.49804.63862.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend918.921,005.071,062.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.08%6.08%7.08%
Fair Value$68,825.54$213,241.64$227,551.87
Upside / Downside897.47%2,990.46%3,197.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)43,693.7946,351.7349,171.3452,162.4855,335.5758,701.6860,462.73
Payout Ratio17.45%31.96%46.47%60.98%75.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,624.3914,813.8622,849.8031,808.5941,772.7752,831.5155,928.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate5.08%6.08%7.08%
Year 1 PV (M)13,780.4013,911.5414,042.68
Year 2 PV (M)19,772.8820,151.0020,532.70
Year 3 PV (M)25,605.0626,343.0327,095.05
Year 4 PV (M)31,280.1132,487.9033,730.33
Year 5 PV (M)36,801.1938,585.8840,439.16
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,117,528.271,171,723.541,228,001.28
Equity Value (M)1,244,767.911,303,202.891,363,841.19
Shares Outstanding (M)38.0438.0438.04
Fair Value$32,723.25$34,259.43$35,853.52
Upside / Downside374.25%396.51%419.62%

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