Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

SITC International Holdings Company Limited (1308.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.85 - $30.75$19.98
Multi-Stage$10.58 - $11.53$11.05
Blended Fair Value$15.52
Current Price$3.20
Upside384.86%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS30.05%20.93%0.210.280.590.210.100.060.060.030.020.03
YoY Growth---25.85%-52.23%185.20%102.79%81.57%-1.91%73.57%63.28%-27.26%-11.08%
Dividend Yield--7.80%16.18%26.40%5.68%4.67%4.57%6.04%3.31%3.30%5.21%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,879.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,250.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)629.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)375.88234.93140.96
Cash Retained (M)629.36629.36629.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-375.88-234.93-140.96
(=) Excess Retained (M)253.48394.44488.41
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,685.672,685.672,685.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.090.150.18
LTM Dividend per Share0.470.470.47
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.090.150.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.610.65
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$13.85$19.98$30.75
Upside / Downside332.94%524.51%860.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,879.422,001.582,131.682,270.242,417.812,574.962,652.21
Payout Ratio66.51%71.21%75.91%80.61%85.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,250.051,425.331,618.111,829.932,062.452,317.472,453.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.76%9.76%9.76%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,286.361,298.551,310.74
Year 2 PV (M)1,317.951,343.061,368.40
Year 3 PV (M)1,345.161,383.771,423.12
Year 4 PV (M)1,368.261,420.881,475.00
Year 5 PV (M)1,387.541,454.551,524.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,718.4622,767.4723,856.62
Equity Value (M)28,423.7229,668.2830,958.02
Shares Outstanding (M)2,685.672,685.672,685.67
Fair Value$10.58$11.05$11.53
Upside / Downside230.73%245.22%260.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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