Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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TCL Electronics Holdings Limited (1070.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$140.99 - $166.25$155.74
Multi-Stage$85.65 - $94.38$89.93
Blended Fair Value$122.83
Current Price$9.54
Upside1,187.56%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.01%0.00%0.210.130.170.110.190.180.220.020.000.03
YoY Growth--65.87%-23.58%50.32%-41.58%4.19%-18.85%991.07%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.24%3.54%4.99%3.28%3.13%5.56%4.99%0.56%0.00%0.60%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,199.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)403.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,796.52
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)439.97274.98164.99
Cash Retained (M)1,796.521,796.521,796.52
(-) Cash Required (M)-439.97-274.98-164.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,356.541,521.531,631.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,521.562,521.562,521.56
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.540.600.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.700.760.81
WACC / Discount Rate1.04%1.04%1.04%
Growth Rate1.01%2.01%3.01%
Fair Value$140.99$155.74$166.25
Upside / Downside1,377.92%1,532.48%1,642.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,199.872,244.022,289.052,334.992,381.862,429.662,502.55
Payout Ratio18.34%32.67%47.00%61.33%75.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)403.35733.081,075.881,432.151,802.282,186.692,314.86

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.04%1.04%1.04%
Growth Rate1.01%2.01%3.01%
Year 1 PV (M)718.40725.51732.63
Year 2 PV (M)1,033.231,053.791,074.55
Year 3 PV (M)1,347.841,388.271,429.50
Year 4 PV (M)1,662.231,729.041,797.84
Year 5 PV (M)1,976.402,076.192,179.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)209,223.37219,787.36230,773.82
Equity Value (M)215,961.47226,760.17237,988.32
Shares Outstanding (M)2,521.562,521.562,521.56
Fair Value$85.65$89.93$94.38
Upside / Downside797.76%842.65%889.32%

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