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Shandong Weigao Group Medical Polymer Company Limited (1066.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - Instruments & SuppliesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.11 - $35.24$23.12
Multi-Stage$18.63 - $20.42$19.51
Blended Fair Value$21.31
Current Price$5.57
Upside282.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.12%12.11%0.190.160.160.140.150.160.050.120.060.07
YoY Growth--18.83%-1.21%13.52%-6.85%-1.42%226.49%-61.48%124.00%-23.77%19.35%
Dividend Yield--4.44%2.40%1.44%1.81%1.04%2.70%0.84%2.30%1.19%1.63%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,879.12
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,603.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,275.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)775.82484.89290.93
Cash Retained (M)2,275.902,275.902,275.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-775.82-484.89-290.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,500.081,791.011,984.97
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4,564.334,564.334,564.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.330.390.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.330.390.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.680.740.79
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Fair Value$16.11$23.12$35.24
Upside / Downside189.22%315.11%532.60%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,879.124,025.604,177.624,335.374,499.084,668.974,809.04
Payout Ratio41.33%51.06%60.80%70.53%80.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,603.222,055.622,539.893,057.813,611.224,202.074,448.36

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.11%7.11%7.11%
Growth Rate2.78%3.78%4.78%
Year 1 PV (M)1,900.601,919.101,937.59
Year 2 PV (M)2,171.272,213.732,256.60
Year 3 PV (M)2,416.902,488.142,560.76
Year 4 PV (M)2,639.082,743.302,850.58
Year 5 PV (M)2,839.302,980.143,126.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)73,064.6176,689.0180,455.83
Equity Value (M)85,031.7789,033.4293,187.88
Shares Outstanding (M)4,564.334,564.334,564.33
Fair Value$18.63$19.51$20.42
Upside / Downside234.46%250.20%266.55%

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