Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Basler Kantonalbank (0QLU.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$764.70 - $1,753.95$1,643.47
Multi-Stage$461.52 - $506.90$483.78
Blended Fair Value$1,063.63
Current Price$74.80
Upside1,321.96%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.34%3.76%2.432.222.062.062.062.062.241.892.001.69
YoY Growth--9.10%8.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-8.05%18.21%-5.08%18.09%0.79%
Dividend Yield--3.52%3.52%3.38%3.33%3.51%2.76%2.84%2.64%2.88%2.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)365.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)320.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)73.1745.7327.44
Cash Retained (M)320.42320.42320.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-73.17-45.73-27.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)247.25274.69292.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)40.8640.8640.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.056.727.17
LTM Dividend per Share1.111.111.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.056.727.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend7.167.838.28
WACC / Discount Rate4.87%4.87%4.87%
Growth Rate3.89%4.89%5.89%
Fair Value$764.70$1,643.47$1,753.95
Upside / Downside922.33%2,097.15%2,244.85%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)365.86383.77402.55422.25442.92464.60478.53
Payout Ratio12.42%27.94%43.45%58.97%74.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45.44107.21174.92248.99329.90418.14442.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.87%4.87%4.87%
Growth Rate3.89%4.89%5.89%
Year 1 PV (M)101.26102.23103.21
Year 2 PV (M)156.04159.06162.10
Year 3 PV (M)209.79215.91222.14
Year 4 PV (M)262.53272.79283.34
Year 5 PV (M)314.28329.70345.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,815.6718,689.7319,597.76
Equity Value (M)18,859.5719,769.4120,714.27
Shares Outstanding (M)40.8640.8640.86
Fair Value$461.52$483.78$506.90
Upside / Downside517.00%546.77%577.68%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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