Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NCC AB (publ) (0OFP.IL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$176.50 - $286.96$226.01
Multi-Stage$357.72 - $393.78$375.40
Blended Fair Value$300.71
Current Price$216.20
Upside39.09%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.57%-4.92%7.995.996.325.502.754.428.838.843.3113.23
YoY Growth--33.28%-5.18%14.87%100.00%-37.73%-50.00%-0.12%166.98%-74.96%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.20%4.12%6.88%4.11%1.87%3.39%6.10%5.57%1.50%6.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,586.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)390.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,196.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)317.20198.25118.95
Cash Retained (M)1,196.001,196.001,196.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-317.20-198.25-118.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)878.80997.751,077.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)97.8097.8097.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.9910.2011.01
LTM Dividend per Share3.993.993.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.9910.2011.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.9714.1915.00
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.87%0.13%1.13%
Fair Value$176.50$226.01$286.96
Upside / Downside-18.36%4.54%32.73%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,586.001,588.111,590.231,592.341,594.461,596.591,644.48
Payout Ratio24.59%37.67%50.75%63.84%76.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)390.00598.28807.101,016.491,226.431,436.931,521.15

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.87%0.13%1.13%
Year 1 PV (M)556.57562.18567.80
Year 2 PV (M)698.50712.66726.97
Year 3 PV (M)818.38843.40868.92
Year 4 PV (M)918.57956.20994.98
Year 5 PV (M)1,001.211,052.741,106.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)30,991.3632,586.3334,246.31
Equity Value (M)34,984.5936,713.5238,511.34
Shares Outstanding (M)97.8097.8097.80
Fair Value$357.72$375.40$393.78
Upside / Downside65.46%73.64%82.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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