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Definitive Analysis

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Koh Young Technology Inc. (098460.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1,949.44 - $2,819.54$2,372.50
Multi-Stage$2,900.30 - $3,174.00$3,034.56
Blended Fair Value$2,703.53
Current Price$14,450.00
Upside-81.29%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.10%11.35%137.93140.92121.83111.68115.08130.60135.4280.0959.9359.90
YoY Growth---2.13%15.67%9.09%-2.95%-11.89%-3.56%69.08%33.64%0.05%27.25%
Dividend Yield--1.02%0.76%0.72%0.59%0.50%0.84%0.77%0.40%0.58%0.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)17,755.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,237.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,518.58
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,551.162,219.481,331.69
Cash Retained (M)8,518.588,518.588,518.58
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,551.16-2,219.48-1,331.69
(=) Excess Retained (M)4,967.426,299.117,186.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)66.5966.5966.59
(=) Excess Retained per Share74.6094.60107.93
LTM Dividend per Share138.73138.73138.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share74.6094.60107.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend213.33233.33246.66
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-0.90%0.10%1.10%
Fair Value$1,949.44$2,372.50$2,819.54
Upside / Downside-86.51%-83.58%-80.49%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)17,755.8117,773.1717,790.5517,807.9517,825.3617,842.7918,378.08
Payout Ratio52.02%59.62%67.21%74.81%82.40%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,237.2310,596.1811,957.7813,322.0314,688.9416,058.5116,999.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate-0.90%0.10%1.10%
Year 1 PV (M)9,541.689,637.979,734.25
Year 2 PV (M)9,696.219,892.8910,091.54
Year 3 PV (M)9,727.4210,024.8810,328.34
Year 4 PV (M)9,658.1410,053.9210,461.75
Year 5 PV (M)9,507.889,997.3910,506.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)144,988.51152,453.07160,221.96
Equity Value (M)193,119.84202,060.12211,344.69
Shares Outstanding (M)66.5966.5966.59
Fair Value$2,900.30$3,034.56$3,174.00
Upside / Downside-79.93%-79.00%-78.03%

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