Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Lutronic Corporation (085370.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21,102.67 - $45,704.34$30,181.40
Multi-Stage$15,513.28 - $16,933.25$16,210.46
Blended Fair Value$23,195.93
Current Price$36,400.00
Upside-36.27%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS42.51%0.00%190.000.004.345.8428.0532.3320.219.480.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-25.82%-79.17%-13.22%59.92%113.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.75%0.00%0.02%0.03%0.14%0.16%0.10%0.05%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)28,696.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,264.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,432.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,739.393,587.122,152.27
Cash Retained (M)20,432.6820,432.6820,432.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,739.39-3,587.12-2,152.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)14,693.2916,845.5618,280.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1726.1726.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share561.47643.72698.55
LTM Dividend per Share315.80315.80315.80
(+) Excess Retained per Share561.47643.72698.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend877.28959.521,014.35
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21,102.67$30,181.40$45,704.34
Upside / Downside-42.03%-17.08%25.56%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)28,696.9530,562.2532,548.7934,664.4736,917.6639,317.3040,496.82
Payout Ratio28.80%41.04%53.28%65.52%77.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,264.2712,542.3617,341.6922,711.9428,707.0535,385.5737,459.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.89%9.89%9.89%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11,306.8211,414.0011,521.17
Year 2 PV (M)14,093.3414,361.7714,632.74
Year 3 PV (M)16,639.4017,117.0617,603.77
Year 4 PV (M)18,959.7819,688.9220,438.89
Year 5 PV (M)21,068.4222,086.0423,142.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)323,900.86339,545.39355,788.67
Equity Value (M)405,968.62424,213.17443,127.84
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1726.1726.17
Fair Value$15,513.28$16,210.46$16,933.25
Upside / Downside-57.38%-55.47%-53.48%

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