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Korea District Heating Corp. (071320.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated WaterSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$567,224.70 - $1,295,084.74$826,302.52
Multi-Stage$752,348.97 - $826,308.98$788,625.91
Blended Fair Value$807,464.22
Current Price$90,300.00
Upside794.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-5.53%1,715.66940.35807.99978.31152.020.002,858.893,852.403,669.922,139.10
YoY Growth--82.45%16.38%-17.41%543.54%0.00%-100.00%-25.79%4.97%71.56%-29.43%
Dividend Yield--3.46%2.51%3.00%2.68%0.40%0.00%4.69%4.58%5.49%3.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)327,691.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64,200.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)263,490.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)65,538.2440,961.4024,576.84
Cash Retained (M)263,490.44263,490.44263,490.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-65,538.24-40,961.40-24,576.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)197,952.20222,529.04238,913.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4211.4211.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share17,331.9219,483.7720,918.34
LTM Dividend per Share5,621.175,621.175,621.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share17,331.9219,483.7720,918.34
(=) Adjusted Dividend22,953.0925,104.9426,539.51
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.19%3.19%4.19%
Fair Value$567,224.70$826,302.52$1,295,084.74
Upside / Downside528.16%815.06%1,334.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)327,691.19338,133.49348,908.54360,026.96371,499.68383,337.99394,838.13
Payout Ratio19.59%33.67%47.76%61.84%75.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64,200.75113,861.30166,621.65222,628.93282,036.50345,004.19365,225.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate2.19%3.19%4.19%
Year 1 PV (M)106,053.50107,091.34108,129.18
Year 2 PV (M)144,553.68147,396.73150,267.47
Year 3 PV (M)179,898.76185,232.09190,669.80
Year 4 PV (M)212,275.92220,708.03229,388.90
Year 5 PV (M)241,862.56253,930.82266,476.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,708,121.328,092,734.688,492,549.98
Equity Value (M)8,592,765.739,007,093.689,437,481.39
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4211.4211.42
Fair Value$752,348.97$788,625.91$826,308.98
Upside / Downside733.17%773.34%815.07%

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