Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Hyundai Rotem Company (064350.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RailroadsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$59,159.31 - $90,619.61$73,846.28
Multi-Stage$71,174.31 - $78,075.52$74,559.70
Blended Fair Value$74,202.99
Current Price$219,000.00
Upside-66.12%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.28%-0.60%100.000.000.0062.2662.2635.1237.7519.3345.401.59
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%77.27%-6.97%95.26%-57.41%2,747.48%-98.50%
Dividend Yield--0.10%0.00%0.00%0.31%0.31%0.28%0.16%0.12%0.22%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)692,657.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21,828.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)670,829.17
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)138,531.5386,582.2051,949.32
Cash Retained (M)670,829.17670,829.17670,829.17
(-) Cash Required (M)-138,531.53-86,582.20-51,949.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)532,297.64584,246.97618,879.85
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)109.14109.14109.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,877.335,353.345,670.67
LTM Dividend per Share200.01200.01200.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,877.335,353.345,670.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,077.345,553.355,870.68
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate1.21%2.21%3.21%
Fair Value$59,159.31$73,846.28$90,619.61
Upside / Downside-72.99%-66.28%-58.62%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)692,657.63707,962.08723,604.69739,592.93755,934.43772,637.00795,816.11
Payout Ratio3.15%20.52%37.89%55.26%72.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21,828.46145,281.79274,179.93408,703.21549,037.31695,373.30736,129.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.90%9.90%9.90%
Growth Rate1.21%2.21%3.21%
Year 1 PV (M)130,906.13132,199.55133,492.96
Year 2 PV (M)222,604.16227,024.77231,488.84
Year 3 PV (M)298,988.50307,938.82317,066.00
Year 4 PV (M)361,907.10376,423.77391,372.83
Year 5 PV (M)413,011.43433,822.42455,463.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,340,333.786,659,813.056,992,042.90
Equity Value (M)7,767,751.118,137,222.378,520,927.51
Shares Outstanding (M)109.14109.14109.14
Fair Value$71,174.31$74,559.70$78,075.52
Upside / Downside-67.50%-65.95%-64.35%

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