Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financials

Company Industry Sector

Parameters

Ann Qtr TTM M K YoY P/S

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Metrics

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Seoul City Gas Co., Ltd. (017390.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated GasSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$251,172.45 - $794,702.26$404,193.21
Multi-Stage$267,052.21 - $293,000.95$279,782.36
Blended Fair Value$341,987.78
Current Price$57,300.00
Upside496.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.14%5.66%2,330.031,782.691,792.161,783.5216,706.221,813.721,739.931,788.211,818.291,624.07
YoY Growth--30.70%-0.53%0.48%-89.32%821.10%4.24%-2.70%-1.65%11.96%20.84%
Dividend Yield--4.78%3.08%0.36%0.97%18.81%2.96%2.08%2.10%2.24%1.99%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37,913.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10,019.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)27,893.77
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,582.694,739.182,843.51
Cash Retained (M)27,893.7727,893.7727,893.77
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,582.69-4,739.18-2,843.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,311.0823,154.5925,050.26
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.913.913.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share5,198.055,925.776,410.92
LTM Dividend per Share2,564.262,564.262,564.26
(+) Excess Retained per Share5,198.055,925.776,410.92
(=) Adjusted Dividend7,762.328,490.038,975.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Fair Value$251,172.45$404,193.21$794,702.26
Upside / Downside338.35%605.40%1,286.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37,913.4639,482.1941,115.8242,817.0544,588.6746,433.5947,826.60
Payout Ratio26.43%39.14%51.86%64.57%77.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10,019.6915,454.2121,321.3027,647.4534,460.6041,790.2344,239.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate3.14%4.14%5.14%
Year 1 PV (M)14,395.3014,534.8714,674.45
Year 2 PV (M)18,499.5618,860.0319,223.99
Year 3 PV (M)22,344.8123,001.0823,670.08
Year 4 PV (M)25,942.8926,963.7628,014.48
Year 5 PV (M)29,305.1630,753.6632,258.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)933,002.43979,119.001,027,041.38
Equity Value (M)1,043,490.151,093,232.421,144,883.25
Shares Outstanding (M)3.913.913.91
Fair Value$267,052.21$279,782.36$293,000.95
Upside / Downside366.06%388.28%411.35%

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