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Definitive Analysis

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Samsung Securities Co., Ltd. (016360.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$646,876.69 - $2,093,268.97$1,961,699.58
Multi-Stage$276,621.86 - $302,704.81$289,424.12
Blended Fair Value$1,125,561.85
Current Price$71,700.00
Upside1,469.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.46%28.69%2,199.971,699.983,799.952,201.151,699.981,399.98999.99556.35785.05530.61
YoY Growth--29.41%-55.26%72.63%29.48%21.43%40.00%79.74%-29.13%47.95%200.45%
Dividend Yield--4.86%4.34%11.99%5.25%4.31%4.77%2.94%1.41%2.33%1.36%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)939,944.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)312,550.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)627,394.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)187,988.97117,493.1170,495.87
Cash Retained (M)627,394.87627,394.87627,394.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-187,988.97-117,493.11-70,495.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)439,405.89509,901.76556,899.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)89.3089.3089.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,920.495,709.916,236.18
LTM Dividend per Share3,499.953,499.953,499.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,920.495,709.916,236.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend8,420.449,209.869,736.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$646,876.69$1,961,699.58$2,093,268.97
Upside / Downside802.20%2,635.98%2,819.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)939,944.871,001,041.281,066,108.971,135,406.051,209,207.441,287,805.931,326,440.10
Payout Ratio33.25%44.60%55.95%67.30%78.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)312,550.00446,480.03596,500.44764,137.13951,046.371,159,025.331,226,957.10

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)413,843.05417,765.73421,688.42
Year 2 PV (M)512,481.30522,242.63532,096.05
Year 3 PV (M)608,516.26625,984.57643,784.03
Year 4 PV (M)701,998.53728,995.41756,763.58
Year 5 PV (M)792,977.87831,279.00871,046.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)21,672,861.1622,719,668.4623,806,539.53
Equity Value (M)24,702,678.1725,845,935.8027,031,917.60
Shares Outstanding (M)89.3089.3089.30
Fair Value$276,621.86$289,424.12$302,704.81
Upside / Downside285.80%303.66%322.18%

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