Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Landai Technology Group Corp., Ltd. (002765.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.50 - $58.32$54.65
Multi-Stage$39.20 - $43.02$41.07
Blended Fair Value$47.86
Current Price$14.24
Upside236.11%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS12.53%-8.26%0.040.090.080.040.030.020.050.050.100.09
YoY Growth---53.60%4.53%91.97%56.22%24.02%-57.87%-1.15%-44.44%3.18%-1.93%
Dividend Yield--0.28%1.64%1.05%0.59%0.58%0.53%0.67%0.59%0.63%0.83%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)191.21
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)139.16
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)38.2423.9014.34
Cash Retained (M)139.16139.16139.16
(-) Cash Required (M)-38.24-23.90-14.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)100.92115.26124.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)652.09652.09652.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.080.080.08
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.230.260.27
WACC / Discount Rate-0.81%-0.81%-0.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.50$54.65$58.32
Upside / Downside247.59%283.78%309.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)191.21203.64216.88230.97245.99261.98269.83
Payout Ratio27.22%39.78%52.33%64.89%77.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.0581.00113.50149.87190.50235.78249.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate-0.81%-0.81%-0.81%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)80.8981.6682.42
Year 2 PV (M)113.19115.35117.52
Year 3 PV (M)149.27153.56157.92
Year 4 PV (M)189.48196.77204.27
Year 5 PV (M)234.20245.52257.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,793.0225,990.5427,233.88
Equity Value (M)25,560.0726,783.3828,053.28
Shares Outstanding (M)652.09652.09652.09
Fair Value$39.20$41.07$43.02
Upside / Downside175.26%188.44%202.11%

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