DDM Analysis: 002553.SZ

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$19.24 - $42.01	$27.59
Multi-Stage	$13.76 - $15.04	$14.39
Blended Fair Value	$20.99
Current Price	$29.89
Upside	-29.77%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-0.12%	6.02%	0.20	0.10	0.20	0.10	0.10	0.20	0.20	0.20	0.10	0.10
YoY Growth	-	-	99.61%	-49.50%	99.71%	0.25%	-50.76%	1.54%	0.00%	100.00%	0.00%	-11.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.99%	0.81%	1.62%	1.09%	0.87%	4.31%	2.90%	2.50%	0.66%	0.87%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	344.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	35.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)	309.04

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	68.91	43.07	25.84
Cash Retained (M)	309.04	309.04	309.04
(-) Cash Required (M)	-68.91	-43.07	-25.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)	240.13	265.97	283.20
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	347.97	347.97	347.97
(=) Excess Retained per Share	0.69	0.76	0.81
LTM Dividend per Share	0.10	0.10	0.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share	0.69	0.76	0.81
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.79	0.87	0.92
WACC / Discount Rate	9.84%	9.84%	9.84%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Fair Value	$19.24	$27.59	$42.01
Upside / Downside	-35.64%	-7.68%	40.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	344.53	366.92	390.77	416.17	443.22	472.03	486.19
Payout Ratio	10.30%	26.24%	42.18%	58.12%	74.06%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	35.49	96.28	164.83	241.88	328.25	424.83	449.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	9.84%	9.84%	9.84%
Growth Rate	5.50%	6.50%	7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)	86.83	87.65	88.48
Year 2 PV (M)	134.06	136.61	139.19
Year 3 PV (M)	177.41	182.51	187.69
Year 4 PV (M)	217.13	225.48	234.07
Year 5 PV (M)	253.43	265.67	278.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)	3,920.06	4,109.40	4,305.99
Equity Value (M)	4,788.92	5,007.32	5,233.79
Shares Outstanding (M)	347.97	347.97	347.97
Fair Value	$13.76	$14.39	$15.04
Upside / Downside	-53.96%	-51.86%	-49.68%

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Jiangsu NanFang Precision Co.,Ltd. (002553.SZ)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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