Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sinosteel New Materials Co., Ltd. (002057.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.03 - $62.19$24.41
Multi-Stage$6.62 - $7.24$6.92
Blended Fair Value$15.66
Current Price$10.96
Upside42.92%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.50%48.12%0.240.260.170.120.070.060.060.010.010.00
YoY Growth---9.92%58.97%43.81%77.63%15.92%-1.88%575.26%5.83%104.14%-16.25%
Dividend Yield--2.93%3.68%1.62%1.31%0.93%0.82%1.08%0.16%0.12%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)236.77
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)42.30
(=) Cash Retained (M)194.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.3529.6017.76
Cash Retained (M)194.47194.47194.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.35-29.60-17.76
(=) Excess Retained (M)147.11164.87176.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)757.13757.13757.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.250.270.29
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12.03$24.41$62.19
Upside / Downside9.76%122.68%467.44%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)236.77252.16268.55286.00304.59324.39334.13
Payout Ratio17.87%32.29%46.72%61.15%75.57%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)42.3081.43125.47174.88230.19291.95309.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.69%7.69%7.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)74.9075.6176.32
Year 2 PV (M)106.16108.18110.22
Year 3 PV (M)136.11140.01143.99
Year 4 PV (M)164.79171.13177.65
Year 5 PV (M)192.25201.54211.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,335.704,545.124,762.55
Equity Value (M)5,009.915,241.595,481.91
Shares Outstanding (M)757.13757.13757.13
Fair Value$6.62$6.92$7.24
Upside / Downside-39.63%-36.83%-33.94%

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