Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Weixing Industrial Development Co., Ltd. (002003.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$58.54 - $115.17$107.93
Multi-Stage$18.06 - $19.76$18.90
Blended Fair Value$63.41
Current Price$10.18
Upside522.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS22.96%14.32%0.690.350.370.280.280.250.260.200.180.18
YoY Growth--97.76%-5.41%31.75%1.58%12.26%-6.92%34.61%8.35%0.49%-0.59%
Dividend Yield--5.77%3.28%3.95%2.95%5.12%5.60%4.24%2.92%2.71%2.73%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)660.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)369.18
(=) Cash Retained (M)290.89
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)132.0182.5149.51
Cash Retained (M)290.89290.89290.89
(-) Cash Required (M)-132.01-82.51-49.51
(=) Excess Retained (M)158.88208.38241.39
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,139.851,139.851,139.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.320.320.32
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.140.180.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.460.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$58.54$107.93$115.17
Upside / Downside475.06%960.19%1,031.29%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)660.07702.97748.67797.33849.16904.35931.48
Payout Ratio55.93%62.74%69.56%76.37%83.19%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)369.18441.07520.76608.94706.38813.92861.62

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)410.90414.80418.69
Year 2 PV (M)451.95460.56469.25
Year 3 PV (M)492.33506.46520.86
Year 4 PV (M)532.04552.50573.55
Year 5 PV (M)571.10598.69627.33
PV of Terminal Value (M)18,128.9519,004.5819,913.73
Equity Value (M)20,587.2821,537.6022,523.41
Shares Outstanding (M)1,139.851,139.851,139.85
Fair Value$18.06$18.90$19.76
Upside / Downside77.42%85.61%94.11%

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