Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wienerberger AG (WIE.VI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$48.80 - $189.53$82.69
Multi-Stage$48.34 - $52.97$50.61
Blended Fair Value$66.65
Current Price$31.62
Upside110.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.85%21.93%0.910.860.760.610.610.520.310.290.210.16
YoY Growth--5.73%13.09%24.51%0.00%17.57%64.57%10.24%35.00%33.34%27.05%
Dividend Yield--2.95%2.60%2.84%2.22%1.95%3.60%1.66%1.40%1.06%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)187.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)103.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)83.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)37.4823.4214.05
Cash Retained (M)83.6583.6583.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-37.48-23.42-14.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)46.1760.2269.59
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)110.66110.66110.66
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.540.63
LTM Dividend per Share0.940.940.94
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.540.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.351.481.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate3.44%4.44%5.44%
Fair Value$48.80$82.69$189.53
Upside / Downside54.34%161.51%499.39%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)187.39195.72204.42213.50222.99232.90239.89
Payout Ratio55.36%62.29%69.22%76.14%83.07%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)103.74121.91141.49162.57185.25209.61221.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.32%6.32%6.32%
Growth Rate3.44%4.44%5.44%
Year 1 PV (M)113.57114.67115.77
Year 2 PV (M)122.79125.18127.59
Year 3 PV (M)131.43135.28139.21
Year 4 PV (M)139.52144.99150.63
Year 5 PV (M)147.07154.32161.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,694.794,926.145,166.53
Equity Value (M)5,349.185,600.595,861.56
Shares Outstanding (M)110.66110.66110.66
Fair Value$48.34$50.61$52.97
Upside / Downside52.87%60.05%67.51%

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