Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Srisawad Corporation Public Company Limited (SAWAD-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Credit ServicesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$511.45 - $602.58$564.70
Multi-Stage$105.25 - $115.39$110.22
Blended Fair Value$337.46
Current Price$30.00
Upside1,024.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.38%-23.33%0.011.521.521.521.180.010.010.010.000.00
YoY Growth---99.36%0.01%0.03%28.53%12,928.50%-31.79%139.01%195.56%2.07%-98.67%
Dividend Yield--0.04%4.36%3.49%3.23%1.68%0.03%0.03%0.01%0.01%0.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,918.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)60.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,857.91
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)983.66614.79368.87
Cash Retained (M)4,857.914,857.914,857.91
(-) Cash Required (M)-983.66-614.79-368.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,874.254,243.124,489.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,623.241,623.241,623.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.392.612.77
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.392.612.77
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.422.652.80
WACC / Discount Rate5.91%5.91%5.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$511.45$564.70$602.58
Upside / Downside1,604.84%1,782.34%1,908.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,918.315,238.005,578.475,941.076,327.246,738.516,940.67
Payout Ratio1.23%18.98%36.74%54.49%72.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)60.40994.302,049.353,237.364,571.156,064.666,420.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.91%5.91%5.91%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)929.96938.77947.59
Year 2 PV (M)1,792.701,826.851,861.32
Year 3 PV (M)2,648.672,724.712,802.18
Year 4 PV (M)3,497.913,632.433,770.79
Year 5 PV (M)4,340.454,550.094,767.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)157,630.99165,244.62173,149.65
Equity Value (M)170,840.68178,917.47187,299.29
Shares Outstanding (M)1,623.241,623.241,623.24
Fair Value$105.25$110.22$115.39
Upside / Downside250.82%267.41%284.62%

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